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Casuarina Consulting

Business x Press · No. 10

Week of 3 August 2026

From an AI-driven power crunch to a legal test for climate finance, five risks shaping the week and what to watch.

01Supply Chain & OperationsHigh

AI power demand outpaces the grid

LowElevatedHighSevere

Contracted large-load growth is surging, with Southern Co. alone now at 17 GW, as data centres chase capacity and some buy their own fuel cells to secure it. At the same time China is throttling new solar ingot expansion, tightening the clean-hardware pipeline. Firms planning electrified operations face longer interconnection queues and pricier power.

Watch →

Interconnection timelines at your key sites, and any further Chinese capacity controls on solar and battery inputs.

02Geopolitics & TradeElevated

US policy reversal redraws clean-energy trade

LowElevatedHighSevere

A month after Congress killed the solar tax credit, supply and investment are rerouting rather than stopping, and Chinese capacity controls add another variable. Security incidents, including a drone carrying explosives found at a German airport, keep aviation and freight exposed to sudden disruption. The direction of policy now matters more than any single quarter.

Watch →

Any replacement incentives or tariffs on clean-tech imports, and airport or corridor security advisories.

03Climate & EnvironmentHigh

Heat and a strengthening El Nino hit output

LowElevatedHighSevere

Italy has placed all 27 of its major cities on the highest heat alert, and a strengthening El Nino is projected to push 49 million more people into acute hunger. Wildfire smoke is now a recurring risk for growers from Michigan to the Mediterranean. Heat, smoke and drought are landing directly on production, cooling and insurance costs.

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Physical exposure at your highest-value sites, and El Nino advisories affecting your sourcing regions.

04Social Impact & LabourElevated

The just transition becomes a business risk

LowElevatedHighSevere

New analysis argues those who contribute least to the crisis still pay the most, and stories from a herbicide-hit farm town to biodiversity loss across Africa show where community harm turns into liability. Firms are increasingly judged on who bears the cost of their operations. The reputational and legal exposure of an unfair transition is rising.

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Community and health impacts around your operations, and how your transition plan distributes cost.

05Regulation & ComplianceHigh

Climate finance and liability face a legal test

LowElevatedHighSevere

A legal fiction that has blocked billions in climate finance is being challenged this week, part of a wider shift where courts and rules are catching up to climate claims. With the International Court of Justice signalling that states can be held accountable, disclosure and litigation exposure keeps climbing. Compliance teams face a moving target across finance, disclosure and liability.

Watch →

The outcome of this week's climate-finance challenge, and any new disclosure or liability rulings in your markets.